Assessment of Urban Flood in Vijayawada under Historical and Future Projected Climate Scenarios

IJEP 43(2): 184-192 : Vol. 43 Issue. 2 (February 2023)

Sunny Agarwal and Sanjeet Kumar*

Koneru Lakshmaiah Education Foundation, Department of Civil Engineering, Guntur, Andhra Pradesh – 522 502, India

Abstract

Urbanization aggravates floods by increasing impermeable surfaces and by modifying flow routes. The increase in the impervious area associated with urban development affects the hydrologic cycle and consequently, there is an enhanced risk due to urban flooding. Presently stormwater management model (SWMM) is setup for flow routing and to check the adequacy of the drainage networks to cater for the extreme rainfall events of Vijayawada city. Daily rainfall events of 23rd July 1989 having magnitude of 198.6 mm (historical); 22nd June 2026 having magnitude of 232.49 mm (RCP 4.5) and 24th June 2044 having magnitude of 173.35 mm (RCP 8.5) was used as rain gage data for the model. Modified green-Ampt method was used for the infiltration and dynamic wave method was chosen for flow routing while non-linear reservoir method was considered to simulate the rainfall-runoff process. The study indicated the capability of the model to visualize the outflows at nodes and channel sections. The runoff volume contributed by the imperious surface is 85.48-96.87% of total runoff for all sub-catchments which favours incorporation of various lower impact developments (LID) and best management practices (BMPs). For RCP 4.5 scenario model simulated 9-11% more runoff volume while for RCP 8.5 scenario it is generating 3-6% less runoff for each sub-catchments as compared to historical rainfall events. This study approach is helpful to assess future floods and guide policymakers in designing adequate urban drainage systems in developing cities across the globe.

Keywords

Stormwater management model, Modelling, RCP, Urban flood, LID, Best management practice

References

  1. Hansson, K., M. Danielson and L. Ekenberg. 2008. A framework for evaluation of flood management strategies. J. Env. Manage., 86(3):465-480.
  2. Istomina, M.N., A.G. Kocharyan and I. P. Lebedeva. 2005. Floods : Genesis, socio-economic and environmental impacts. Water Resour., 32(4):349-358.
  3. Chandran, R. and M.R. Joisy. 2009. Flood hazard mapping of Vamanapuram river basin-A case study. 10th National Conference on technological trend (NCTTO9). Trivandrum, Kerala. Proceedings, pp 126-131.
  4. Vemula, S., et al. 2019. Urban floods in Hyderabad, India under present and future rainfall scenarios : A case study. Natural Hazards. 95(3):637-655.
  5. Shuster, W.D. and E. Pappas. 2011. Laboratory simulation of urban runoff and estimation or runoff hygrographs with experimental curve numbers implemented in USEPA, SWMM. J. Irrigation Drainage Eng., 137(6):343-351.
  6. Barron, O.V., M.J. Donn and A.D. Barr. 2013. Urbanisation and shallow groundwater predicting changes in catchment hydrological responses. Water Resour. Manage., 27(1):95-115.
  7. Langhammer, J. and V. Vilimek. 2008. Landscape changes as a factor affecting the course and consequences of extreme floods in the Otava river basin, Czech Republic. Env. Monit. Assess., 144(1-3):53-66.
  8. Saghafian, B., et al. 2008. Flood intensification due to changes in landuse. Water Resour. Manage., 22(8):1051-1067.
  9. Zhang, H., W.C. Ma and X.R. Wang. 2008. Rapid urbanization and implications for flood risk management in hinterland of the Pearl river delta, China: The Foshan study. Sensors. 8 (4):2223-2239.
  10. Chen, Y., Y. Xu and Y. Yin. 2009. Impacts of land- use change scenarios on storm-runoff generation in Xitiaoxi basin, China. Quaternary Int., 208(1-2):121-128.
  11. Rossman, L.A. 2015. Stormwater management model (user’s manual version 5.1). United States Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, USA.
  12. Rossman, L. and W. Huber. 2016. Stormwater management model reference manual. In Hydrology (vol I, revised). U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, USA.
  13. ASCE. 1992. Design and construction of urban stormwater management systems. American Society of Civil Engineers, New york, USA.